October 2020 Market Update Bull Volatile Market Type by, Van K. Tharp, PhD

If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. I always say that people do not trade the markets; they trade their beliefs about the markets. In that same way, I’d like to point out that these updates reflect my beliefs. I find the market update information useful for my trading, so I do the work each month and am happy to share that information with my readers. However, if your beliefs are not similar to mine, then this information may not be useful to …

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Your Trading and Consciousness by, Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

Editors Note: This popular article was previously published in Tharp’s Thoughts Weekly Newsletter. Many of our products and workshops are about helping people increase their level of consciousness. Why? Many people trade unconsciously, without knowing at even a shallow level what they are doing in the markets and why. This applies to the psychological parts of trading like beliefs, emotions, discipline, etc. as well as the “technical” aspects of trading (which I view as all psychological). To begin the transformational process, simply become more aware, more conscious of what’s going …

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It’s Scary How Well the Halloween Indicator Keeps Working… by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

Normally at Halloween, the only madness that I have to put up with is an incomprehensible number of Halloween costume shops that open up for six weeks in every vacant storefront. They apparently do quite well because, in my neck of the woods, they’re stinkin’ everywhere. But here’s something that is actually much more useful for the Halloween season… For more than a decade I’ve written columns for Van and his team in the Tharp’s Thoughts newsletter. One of my favorite research areas continues to be old Wall Street sayings …

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Live Trades From the Hybrid Trading Workshop – October 18th By, Ken Long

  With the chaos of the election coming closer each day, the weekend strategy podcasts set us up for some well-managed intraday trades as we enter a new week. Each of these four symbols below (EWZ, X, CLF, DIA) were framed and rehearsed this weekend, and reflect an application of our basic Hybrid Trading patterns.           Two additional live trading case studies from the Hybrid Workshop – routine performance of “Kata” with intraday opportunities every day, all-day.       Want to join the conversation? Follow …

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The Great Covid Migration By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

  Chances are that you’ve seen it in your own neighborhood or heard about it from friends and family. College students moving home as universities switched to remote classes. Gig and restaurant workers leaving city centers as lockdowns shuttered their employers. Folks afraid of catching Covid relocating out to the suburbs, where avoiding others is easier. Those are just three examples of one great migration that’s played out in America this year. Far from being random, the patterns are clear in who’s moving where. Long after Covid goes away, the …

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Crypto Update and Long-Term Outlook (VIDEO) By, Gabriel Grammatidis

  The sell-off in BTC to $10,000 last month and the current recovery have confirmed the July, 2020 long-term buy signal. The September pullback was a plain-vanilla test of a prior resistance level that has become long-term support. Shorter term patterns can happen consecutively to form similar patterns over longer timeframes revealing the markets’ fractal nature. The recent BTC price action adds a lot of bullish energy to the fresh-new exponential upleg unfolding in Cryptos. My initial price target for BTC is $25,000 and the longer term target is $100,000. …

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Update on Cryptoassets as of October 15th, 2020 By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

  If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. Market Summary Yesterday, October 14th, the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index was at 503.25 after finishing last month at 485.85 and following the low of 217.82 in early March. Two months ago we reached new 12 month highs and then the market immediately corrected. The most recent BTC halving took place on May 11th. BTC miners as a whole now produce 6.25 BTC every ten minutes which is down from 12.50 prior to the halving. It …

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Colder Weather is Coming So Avoid These Stocks Like the Plague (or Short ‘Em) by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

  Amid this summer’s economic pain, continued cases of COVID, and lockdown restrictions, the outdoors have been a bright spot. For individuals, it’s been where we’ve been able to see friends and family without too much risk of catching COVID. For bars, restaurants, and cafes, the open air has allowed them to serve customers and take in a little money. Now, fall is settling in and temperatures are dropping, especially in northern states, it’s going to make the outside much less appealing. COVID cases are already resurging and as people …

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Sideways: The Rodney Dangerfield of Market Types by, Kim Andersson

  Editors Note: This popular article was previously published in Tharp’s Thoughts Weekly Newsletter. D.R. Barton once quoted Warren Buffett on what to do in flat markets: “When there’s nothing to do, do nothing.” That’s very sage advice — especially when a sideways market has very little volatility. Doing nothing is one of the strategies that I advocate traders adopt under certain circumstances in an upcoming new VTI workshop called Sideways Market Strategies. One of Van’s primary tenets of system design drove the creation of this workshop: trying to build …

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Scenario Trading From September 30th, 2020 The Morning After the Presidential Debate by, Ken Long

  We did a strategy session after the presidential debate Tuesday night in our nightly strategy podcast, to look at possible market responses to the circus. We developed several scenarios and planned our responses and targets. This is using “contingency planning and scenario development to produce a set of rapid-response trading plans.   Below is the outcome of the TSLA intraday long opportunity, and a couple of case studies (TNA and EWZ) from Hybrid Trading workshop students doing their live trading.     Want to join the conversation? Follow this …

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