Tips

The Underlying Fuel Driving This Run — Part 2, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

In my last article, we looked at one of my favorite ways to track market health — the cumulative breadth of the New York Stock Exchange. The bottom line of that article: the market’s rapid rise from the Christmas Eve lows has been supported by broad participation — lots of stocks have been helping to push the market higher. That’s a contrast to many of the bull runs we’ve seen in recent years when only a few large tech stocks were able to overcome the underperformance of all the market’s …

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The Market is Up 17.1% from the Lows — Is There More Room to Run?, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

Back in November, we looked in depth at the Presidential Cycle at work in the stock market. In addition to looking at some great practical tools helping us understand statistical significance, we saw how the pre-election year is the strongest of the four-year cycle. As a reminder, 2019 is the pre-election year for this cycle (as if the spate of democratic candidates throwing their hat in the presidential election ring wasn’t a big enough tip-off!). The presidential election / stock market cycle was popularized (perhaps even originated by) Yale Hirsch …

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Don’t Believe the Hype: The January Barometer is Broken, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

You may have heard prognosticators talking about the “January Barometer” with trite phrases like “as the S&P 500 goes in January, so goes the year.” I even had a very respected TV personality say that to me on air this week in a format where I couldn’t “clarify” the misnomer… so don’t believe the hype. History is full of strategies that worked for a time, became ineffective, and were subsequently abandoned. We can find examples in product development, marketing, and even comedy. But the easiest place to understand this phenomenon …

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Our One Market Chart Revisited — With A Change In Market Tone, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Two weeks ago, we looked at a market chart that contained the so many key concepts that we spent a whole “Trading Tip” on it. Welcome to déjà vu… This is one of those times that market action lays out such clear support and resistance levels that we can’t help but to sit up and take notice. After the market did a fairly unusual hard “V” bottom off of the lows from Christmas Eve and Boxing Day, it rocketed up. And I mean rocketed up. In the 17 trading days …

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Tweaking Systems That Aren’t Broken, by Ken Long

Dr. Ken Long, a VTI senior trading systems instructor, shared this recent email dialogue with another trader. We thought our readers could benefit from this email content as well. Hi Ken, I have been looking back at a number of market and trading factors to see if I could improve the expectancy of your 551W system by narrowing/selecting what trades to take and when to take them. During the process, I serendipitously discovered that a 541W setup delivers better results than your 551W setup. After reading your one hundred trading …

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Mid-Term Elections Are Over – Now What? by D.R. Barton

Mid-Term Elections Are Over – Now What? by D.R. Barton With all of the talk about the U.S. mid-term elections, I wanted to give my take on my expectations for markets from here. In the just completed elections, the GOP lost control of the House to the Democrats as expected. The big surprise, however, was that the GOP picked up at least 4 seats in the Senate – a 2 standard deviation surprise. The markets have responded positively to this (and in fairness, some of the upside comes from moving …

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The Line In The Sand That The Market Just Won’t Cross (Yet…), by D. R. Barton, Jr.

A potentially explosive standoff played out in the sands of northern Egypt some 2200 years ago. Chronologically, our story occurs smack in between the 323-year period between the death of Alexander the Great and the birth of Jesus. As we tune in, an invading force in Egypt (at that time a Roman protectorate) is being presented with a “leave or suffer the consequences” ultimatum signed by none other than the Roman Senate. Some historical figures just seem to be on the wrong side at every turn. In today’s story, an …

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Italian Politics Cause a Crazy Market Reaction, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Eight years and three months ago, I wrote an article for this very space about the European debt crisis. Greece was the central problem then and to this day, it remains a sovereign state in debt trouble (though that’s largely been swept under the proverbial rug by a series of “loans” from the European Union). Greece, however, was not alone in its debt trouble. Back then (wow — was it really more than eight years ago?), the acronym PIIGS was all the rage. It was used to label the debt …

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A Key To Successful Trading Is Knowing Yourself

A key to successful trading is knowing yourself. Only by knowing yourself can you develop objectives and trading systems that fit you. In other words: 1. You need to find a trading system that fits you. 2. In order to accomplish that, you must know: Your values Your strengths Your weaknesses Your parts (as described in Edge 3, Step 1) Significant beliefs (spiritual, self, market, system) Trading edges Trading weaknesses 3. You can trade only your beliefs about the markets, not the markets themselves. Thus, you should know and understand …

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Preparing for a Strong Directional Move, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Greetings from the home of Joyce and Yates – the land of Guinness and Jameson. Yes, the Bartons are spending a few days in delightful Dublin, Ireland before popping over to London for the weekend. We just arrived and the combination of jet lag and a heavy touring schedule necessitates a concise note this week – but it’s a fairly important one. Markets are poised for a break out of consolidation patterns and are heading back to strong directional movement soon. A couple of weeks ago, I showed you this …

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