Tips

Overview and Update On The Futures and Crypto Markets, by Gabriel Grammatidis

In the Trend Scan Analysis video below, Gabriel provides an overview on strong trend opportunities in the futures markets. When trading Futures, you can rely on multiple trading opportunities coming your way in various asset classes across multiple timeframes. Gabriel sees the outlook right now ass particularly good for US Equity Indexes (Long), Metals (Long), Energies (Short), Interest Rates (Long) and the USD Index Future (Long). Note: Gold (GC) just triggered a strong Long signal based on the Monthly chart for System 2. Towards the end of the video, Gabriel …

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Inverted Yield Curves and Recessions and Volatility — Oh My! by D.R. Barton, Jr.

Last week was rough for investors, to say the least: Yield-curve inversion 800-point drop in the Dow Trade war uncertainty Unrest in Hong Kong bringing down Asian markets Argentina’s stock market dropping 48% in a single day on fears of another debt default That’s enough to make anyone want to take a break. But the market doesn’t wait for anyone, and this week promises to be no less eventful, with tweets already flying from the White House and Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaking at the Fed’s own Jackson Hole Symposium …

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The Return of Volatility and Extreme Headline Risk, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

I’m doing my best to pretend I don’t have jet lag after returning from an amazing nine days in Scotland. To do that, I’ll keep today’s tip short and to the point. Markets are acting like a proverbial cat on a hot tin roof — With every new step, the markets are likely to slide to new short-term lows or take a temporary leap in the air. What was Wednesday morning’s hot mess? The central banks of India, New Zealand and Thailand all dropped interest rates further than expected. This …

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The Fed Narrative and “The Upside Down” Market, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

The Netflix show Stranger Things has been all the talk in the entertainment world. Despite Netflix’s stock drop after earnings last week, the show has been a cornerstone in content offering from the company and received a record 40.7 million unique user views in Season 3’s opening weekend over the Fourth of July holiday. The story features a group of middle schoolers/ high schoolers who in their own various ways, experience a parallel dimension called “The Upside Down.” The Upside Down world mirrors in many ways what happens in the …

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How a Quant Pattern Sees the Market Six Months From Now…, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

The grounds of a Long Island private golf and tennis club I was visiting several years back were quite posh. I went there to meet with one of my hedge fund partners and a quantitative analyst. This quant did deep dives into market data to find actionable patterns. Our hedge fund had been following his work for a while and had grown interested enough to see if he could do some contract work for the fund — or maybe even join the team if the fit was right. In the …

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Ken Long’s Trading Quiz, by Dr. Ken Long

Today’s quiz actually has two case studies with two charts each. Part one offers an example of our favorite hybrid trading style that blends the best of swing trading and daytrading, a technique we call core and turbo. Swing trades form the core position in which we use swing trade patterns to give us a directional bias for the opportunity that may unfold in the next few days. These are moves that are larger than average and which occur in shorter than usual periods of time. When our swing trade …

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A Case Study in Shorting the June 25-26 Market Decline, by Ken Long

Dr. Ken Long provided us the following charts yesterday to help demonstrate a variety of ways someone could have traded the market decline on June 25 and 26 using one fractal pattern of the many he teaches. The first chart shows daily bars for SPY which indicates an initial pattern of decline after a peak. You can see this in the price bars as well as below in the “seasonal change” of the MACD. He calls this price pattern the “Collapsing Dragon” which alerts traders to the probability of downtrend …

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Tariff Uncertainties vs. Market Realities, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

The U.S. and China are taking their trade war to the next level. For its part, the U.S. has put basically all of the imports from China on the tariff list. The Trump administration has also gone after individual companies like Huawei for intellectual property (IP) violations. For their part, the Chinese have increased their tariff rates and added additional categories to their tariff list. In the last 24 hours, China television ran a story about possible export ban on rare earth minerals to the U.S. These minerals are critical …

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The Market Takes Three Shots to the Gut and Comes Back Swingin’, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

On the morning of Monday March 4, the S&P 500 Index traded at the highest level it has seen since October of last year. This 4 ½ month high was short-lived, however, as the market proceeded to trade down for the rest of the week. Readers of these tips in Tharp’s Inbox Coaching were ready for this turning point after I have drawn this resistance level multiple times for you over the past couple of months. Here’s a chart I shared almost two months ago, on January 23 showing this …

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The Underlying Fuel Driving This Run — Part 2, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

In my last article, we looked at one of my favorite ways to track market health — the cumulative breadth of the New York Stock Exchange. The bottom line of that article: the market’s rapid rise from the Christmas Eve lows has been supported by broad participation — lots of stocks have been helping to push the market higher. That’s a contrast to many of the bull runs we’ve seen in recent years when only a few large tech stocks were able to overcome the underperformance of all the market’s …

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