Monthy Market Updates and SQN Reports

Van evaluates the market each month and publishes his market update along with his SQN Report.

June 2022 Market Update Strong Bear Volatile Market Type By, RJ Hixson

Part I: The World Market Model Let’s take a look at the global situation (literally and figuratively) via Van’s World Market Model. If you remember April’s tables, May’s tables will seem pretty familiar. Asian equities are brown and red. All the US equity segments are brown. Europe and Africa are mostly brown and red. The lone geographic segment with all positive Market SQN scores again was the Americas (except for the US). Brazil really bucked the trend with a very strong score. So, unless you owned Central/South American companies, May …

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May 2022 Market Update Bear Volatile Market Type By, RJ Hixson

Part I: The World Market Model Stepping back from the US equities, let’s start this month’s update with a look at the markets globally via the World Market Model. The model uses Van’s Market SQN® methodology which evaluates trend and volatility for the last 100 trading days in a single score. He added colors to help with a quick indication in the model about how each market is performing. The model uses ETF symbols as proxies for what’s happening in the markets. As you look at the following table, what …

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April 2022 Market Update Bear Volatile Market Type By, RJ Hixson

Part I: The Big Picture Here are some of the primary elements for the big picture right now: The yield curve has inverted in certain maturity combinations already, with a definitive inversion likely coming. The inflation rate is higher in the US than it has been in decades and has a higher forecast number than other developed countries. (Have you heard the word “transitory” combined with “inflation” lately?) Interest rates are still very low compared to recent decades; however, they have been rising and will continue to rise. The Fed …

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Market Timing Update March 14, 2022 By, Chuck Whitman

The problem with the stock market is that breaks in the market come so fast. Before you blink, your portfolio is taking on large losses. Then you go into hope mode and wait to see if it comes back. But what if it doesn’t…Let’s look into the latest Market Timing Update from REED$TRADER. We got short-term model sell signals in the market on January 13, and a few days later we got an intermediate-term correction warning (This is the methodology we follow and that we teach through VTI, and that …

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Update on Cryptocurrencies As of March 16th, 2022 By, RJ Hixson

We will return to publishing a more thorough crypto-update next month. This month, enjoy a mini update. Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index closed at 1,996 on March 15 continuing its downtrend since last November. On a longer-term basis, the index has been in a sideways mode since early 2021. Top Cryptos by Market Cap and DeFi Coins Tables Top NFTs and Metaverse Coins Tables The crypto market is not entirely quiet. You can find three-digit, four-digit, and even five-digit percentage point gainers in those lists. BTC’s Market SQN BTC is coming …

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February 2022 Market Update: Bear Volatile Market Type and System Quality Number® Report (Abbreviated) By, R.J. Hixson

This week as we offer you a very abbreviated market assessment. We will return on April 6th with a full Market Update, System Quality Number® Report and commentary. The S&P has been declining over the last two months or so. As you can tell from the S&P 500 weekly bar chart below, the growing weekly price bar bodies and wicks tell of increasing volatility. The second chart shows Van’s Market SQN Score which has been flirting with Bear territory for the last four weeks. It was back in Bear as …

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January 2022 System Quality Number® Report The SQN® Report By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

There are numerous ETFs that track everything from countries, commodities, currencies, and stock market indices to individual market sectors. ETFs provide a wonderfully easy way to discover what’s happening in the world markets. I apply an index-based version of my System Quality Number® (SQN®) score to measure the relative performance of numerous markets in a world model. The Market SQN score uses the daily percent change for input over a 100-day period. Typically, a Market SQN score over 1.47 is strongly bullish, and a score below -0.7 is very weak. …

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Update on Cryptocurrencies As of January 15th, 2022 By, Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

In May 2018, Bloomberg announced that they had formed a cryptocurrency index called the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index. Since Bloomberg only caters to institutional clients, an index of this nature was one of the first steps toward widespread institutional involvement. The index tracks five major crypto assets: Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), Ethereum (ETH), Litecoin (LTC), and EOS (EOS). The index started in May 2018 at 1,000. It reached a new peak in March 2021 of 3,765, dropped significantly until July 19th, then set a new high on November 9th …

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December 2021 System Quality Number® Report: The SQN® Report By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

There are numerous ETFs that track everything from countries, commodities, currencies, and stock market indices to individual market sectors. ETFs provide a wonderfully easy way to discover what’s happening in the world markets. I apply an index-based version of my System Quality Number® (SQN®) score to measure the relative performance of numerous markets in a world model. The Market SQN score uses the daily percent change for input over a 100-day period. Typically, a Market SQN score over 1.47 is strongly bullish, and a score below -0.7 is very weak. …

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December 2021 Market Update Strong Bull Quiet Market Type By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

I always say that people do not trade the markets; they trade their beliefs about the markets. In that same way, I’d like to point out that these updates reflect my beliefs. I find the market update information useful for my trading, so I do the work each month and am happy to share that information with my readers. However, if your beliefs are not similar to mine, then this information may not be useful to you. Thus, if you are inclined to go through some sort of intellectual exercise …

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