D.R. Barton

About the Author: A passion for the systematic approach to the markets and lifelong love of teaching and learning have propelled D.R. Barton, Jr. to the top of the investment and trading arena. He is a regularly featured analyst on Fox Business Networks’ Varney & Co. TV show (catch him Tuesdays at 9:30 a.m. EST), on Bloomberg Radio Taking Stock and MarketWatch’s Money Life Show. He is also a regular guest analyst on CNBC World, CNBC’s Closing Bell, Fox Business Network’s Cavuto Coast to Coast and Making Money with Charles Payne and the China Global Television Network. His articles have appeared on SmartMoney.com, MarketWatch.com and Financial Advisor magazine. You may contact D.R. at “drbarton” at “vantharp.com.”

How a Quant Pattern Sees the Market Six Months From Now…, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

The grounds of a Long Island private golf and tennis club I was visiting several years back were quite posh. I went there to meet with one of my hedge fund partners and a quantitative analyst. This quant did deep dives into market data to find actionable patterns. Our hedge fund had been following his work for a while and had grown interested enough to see if he could do some contract work for the fund — or maybe even join the team if the fit was right. In the …

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Market Narrative Pivots — The Fed is THE Thing Now, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Last week, leaders from the U.S. and China effectively kicked any tariff tantrum down the road. This is likely going to be a long-running story but with that uncertainly moderated, a Trump’s tweet yesterday morning confirmed the posture (highlighting is mine): A Familiar Old Narrative Returns So with no new tariff worries in the short to intermediate term, what will the market’s focus turn to? We saw it in the price action that started this week’s trading. The short-term market pullback was because of… (wait for it…) a really good …

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Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies — Becoming Their Own Asset Class, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Growing up in the Blue Ridge mountains of the southwestern part of Virginia, I had daily opportunities to interact with nature. I particularly loved animals. In addition to our beloved family dog, I had many pets growing up. We raised an American Robin chick when the branch holding its nest broke and the mom would not return to raise the chicks. I had lizards, several varieties of snakes, native and tropical fish (including piranhas), mice, and the list goes on. So my parents weren’t surprised when early in my high …

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The Market Finds Another Parabola to Abhor, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

Every Monday at 10 a.m., I have a call with a friend about markets, business, and some personal stuff, too. This week I was one minute late dialing the number… because I was watching these bars unfold on my trading screen: Beyond Meat (BYND) had just gapped up 10% to open and then took off rocketing more than another 10% in in the first half hour. Since this is an old friend of many years, we usually exchange some pleasantries and get caught up on the personal side of things …

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Bitcoin — A Second Pop & What to Watch Next by D.R. Barton, Jr.

On October 19, 1781, British General Charles Cornwallis surrendered almost 8,000 soldiers, officers, and seamen to American and French commanders on the battlefield of Yorktown, Virginia. This effectively ended the American Revolutionary War. Such an event was nearly impossible for anyone to imagine in the previous years when the world’s greatest army of the day routinely routed the untrained and vastly outnumbered American militia. It would be nearly as impossible to ascribe the eventual American victory to any one factor. The major contributing factors included:     American resilience. General …

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The Power of Relative Moves or Correlation by D.R. Barton, Jr.

The Power of Relative Moves or Correlation by D.R. Barton, Jr. One of the key thoughts that institutional money managers keep in the front of their minds is the diversity of a given portfolio. We could dig into modern portfolio theory and other academic claptrap here, but let’s just cut right to the chase — a diversified portfolio essentially means that all the elements of the portfolio don’t go down at the same time. So if the stock market has a 15% sell-off, a portfolio manager doesn’t want the whole …

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Why the S&P Will Likely Stall for Now… and Then Zoom Again by D.R. Barton Jr.

The S&P 500 cash index traded on Monday morning within 0.8% of its all-time high of 2940.91 set on September 21st of last year. That came after the market’s tear of almost four months now, in which it has rocketed up 24.4% off the low set the first trading day after last year’s Christmas Eve. This overwhelming strength will probably keep the market from busting meaningfully through the highs set seven(ish) months ago. Why? Let’s take a look at a few reasons. At the current level nearly at the all-time …

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The Pop in Cryptocurrencies — Why and What Next, by D.R. Barton

Yesterday, we had one of the first truly warm days in Delaware. Temperatures pushed toward 80 degrees F. I decided to go back to the serenity deck that we installed next to the stream that runs through our back yard. And when I got there, the sight of what was on the ground took my breath away. I saw a beautiful spring color palette that I can’t normally see through my backyard fence: The forest floor had become a sea of deep green foliage and bright yellow flowers. I had …

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Trend, Speed, Eyeballs, Range: The Four Things You Need to Profit from Any Chart, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

I love to cook. And that’s predominantly because I love to eat. Cooking is all about putting different flavors together in a way that delights all five senses. And yes, one can cook from a set recipe and get a good outcome. But it’s only by learning why different ingredients and cooking techniques work when put together that are you able to both understand why the recipe works and to improve on it, especially when the ingredients we have vary from region to region and season to season. I find …

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The Market Takes Three Shots to the Gut and Comes Back Swingin’, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

On the morning of Monday March 4, the S&P 500 Index traded at the highest level it has seen since October of last year. This 4 ½ month high was short-lived, however, as the market proceeded to trade down for the rest of the week. Readers of these tips in Tharp’s Inbox Coaching were ready for this turning point after I have drawn this resistance level multiple times for you over the past couple of months. Here’s a chart I shared almost two months ago, on January 23 showing this …

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