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D.R. Barton

About the Author: A passion for the systematic approach to the markets and lifelong love of teaching and learning have propelled D.R. Barton, Jr. to the top of the investment and trading arena. He is a regularly featured analyst on Fox Business Networks’ Varney & Co. TV show (catch him Tuesdays at 9:30 a.m. EST), on Bloomberg Radio Taking Stock and MarketWatch’s Money Life Show. He is also a regular guest analyst on CNBC World, CNBC’s Closing Bell, Fox Business Network’s Cavuto Coast to Coast and Making Money with Charles Payne and the China Global Television Network. His articles have appeared on SmartMoney.com, MarketWatch.com and Financial Advisor magazine. You may contact D.R. at “drbarton” at “vantharp.com.”

The Game Stops: This Time It’s…Well — Like Every Other Time by, D. R. Barton, Jr.

February 11, 2021 / 4 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

    We were told in 1999, that “this time, it’s different”. We were told…the internet was changing everything. And we were told that valuing companies with no earnings and small or no revenues was going to last forever. That madness of crowd’s mindset drove a whole index up 10x in a few short years:   And then it came back down to earth. For anyone who’s been trading or investing, you know that wasn’t the end of the story — the NASDAQ has been a pretty good (!) place …

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January’s Broken Barometer by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

January 28, 2021 / 5 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

History is laden with strategies that worked for a time, then became ineffective, and were subsequently abandoned. Examples can be found in product development, marketing, and even comedy. But the easiest place to understand this phenomenon might be in military battlefield tactics. From the ancient times when bow, arrow, and horse were battleground standards, no real significant technological advances came to the military until gunpowder was first employed in the 14th century. For thousands of years, military tactics rather than technology were of paramount importance on the battlefield. One of …

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January’s “First Five Days” Indicator – It’s Not Useful Unless… by, D. R. Barton, Jr.

January 14, 2021 / 7 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

  Tell me not, in mournful numbers, Life is but an empty dream! For the soul is dead that slumbers, and things are not what they seem. Life is real! Life is earnest! And the grave is not its goal; Dust thou art; to dust returnest, Was not spoken of the soul. —A Psalm of Life by Henry Wadsworth Longfellow (emphasis added) Many market watchers and analysts are again looking at the well-known “First Five Days” indicator which was popularized by Yale Hirsch’s Stock Trader’s Almanac. (For the record, I …

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2020: Record Money Raised for IPOs… Does 2021 See More of the Same? by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

December 31, 2020 / 3 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

  We’ll remember 2020 for a lot of things. It was the first year that my nuclear family didn’t get to travel to see my dad for Christmas. Instead, I did a 1,500+ mile double round-trip so I could bring him to see the grandkids. Despite us having a masked and socially distanced visit, all keeping an 8-foot distance from our patriarch, it did body, soul, and spirit a world of good. We can remember a year with the fastest 30% drop in the history of U.S. markets followed by …

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Is Bitcoin Too Expensive? by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

December 18, 2020 / 6 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

Last week, Bitcoin eclipsed its all-time high price briefly and was up 177% for the year. The previous record high price was from back in December 2017 during the height of the first Bitcoin rally – and just before the huge crash in 2018. Unlike 2017’s peak, however, I don’t see a high probability of Bitcoin crashing from its current height. In fact, there are multiple fundamental and technical reasons why Bitcoin is going to keep powering higher and why there is still an opportunity to profit at these lofty …

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Gratitude By, D.R. Barton, Jr.

November 25, 2020 / 9 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

  “Piglet noticed that even though he had a Very Small Heart, it could hold a rather large amount of Gratitude.”—A.A. Milne, Winnie-the-Pooh ***Warning — You are about to be issued a personal challenge. As hard as it is to believe — there are traders and investors who read this weekly missive, study Van’s materials, and STILL believe that the psychological aspect of trading isn’t that important. Here’s my challenge — do the two exercises at the end of this article. If your trading and your experience of life (i.e. …

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It’s Scary How Well the Halloween Indicator Keeps Working… by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

October 29, 2020 / 6 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

Normally at Halloween, the only madness that I have to put up with is an incomprehensible number of Halloween costume shops that open up for six weeks in every vacant storefront. They apparently do quite well because, in my neck of the woods, they’re stinkin’ everywhere. But here’s something that is actually much more useful for the Halloween season… For more than a decade I’ve written columns for Van and his team in the Tharp’s Thoughts newsletter. One of my favorite research areas continues to be old Wall Street sayings …

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The Great Covid Migration By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

October 22, 2020 / 6 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

  Chances are that you’ve seen it in your own neighborhood or heard about it from friends and family. College students moving home as universities switched to remote classes. Gig and restaurant workers leaving city centers as lockdowns shuttered their employers. Folks afraid of catching Covid relocating out to the suburbs, where avoiding others is easier. Those are just three examples of one great migration that’s played out in America this year. Far from being random, the patterns are clear in who’s moving where. Long after Covid goes away, the …

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Colder Weather is Coming So Avoid These Stocks Like the Plague (or Short ‘Em) by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

October 8, 2020 / 6 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

  Amid this summer’s economic pain, continued cases of COVID, and lockdown restrictions, the outdoors have been a bright spot. For individuals, it’s been where we’ve been able to see friends and family without too much risk of catching COVID. For bars, restaurants, and cafes, the open air has allowed them to serve customers and take in a little money. Now, fall is settling in and temperatures are dropping, especially in northern states, it’s going to make the outside much less appealing. COVID cases are already resurging and as people …

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The “New” Peak Oil by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

September 24, 2020 / 6 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

  I still remember sitting in my chemical engineering heat transfer class in the mid 1980s. Our professor was an older gentleman who wanted to impart some “big picture” wisdom on his class of graduating seniors. He explained M. King Hubbert’s paper on peak oil from almost 30 years earlier. With an almost religious zeal, our prof told us how oil reserves would soon grow scarce and too expensive to extract. He was a tad bit early but in all fairness, he and other petroleum experts never saw coming few …

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