D.R. Barton

About the Author: A passion for the systematic approach to the markets and lifelong love of teaching and learning have propelled D.R. Barton, Jr. to the top of the investment and trading arena. He is a regularly featured analyst on Fox Business Networks’ Varney & Co. TV show (catch him Tuesdays at 9:30 a.m. EST), on Bloomberg Radio Taking Stock and MarketWatch’s Money Life Show. He is also a regular guest analyst on CNBC World, CNBC’s Closing Bell, Fox Business Network’s Cavuto Coast to Coast and Making Money with Charles Payne and the China Global Television Network. His articles have appeared on SmartMoney.com, MarketWatch.com and Financial Advisor magazine. You may contact D.R. at “drbarton” at “vantharp.com.”

Coronavirus: Important but Not a Reason to Get Bearish By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

  In the spring of 2003, I was invited to visit John Martin, a close friend of mine and a good friend of the Van Tharp Institute. John and his family lived in Singapore, and at that point, the world was on the tail end of the SARS (Severe and Acute Respiratory Syndrome) outbreak. My round trip plane ticket cost about $700 and the wide-body jet from into Hong Kong was less than a quarter full. The SARS news had hit the airline and travel industries hard. Fast forward to …

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A Trader’s Ode to Joy By, D.R. Barton , Jr.

“When you wish someone joy, you wish them peace, love, prosperity, and happiness… all good things.” —Maya Angelou, American poet Earlier this week I walked into my publisher’s office (that I visit at least once a month). There were many familiar faces – most hunkered down, doing work. Then, a delightful, smiling face popped up from behind some monitors and the young editor said to me, “I have something for you!”. She hurried over to my borrowed desk and held out a dreidel. For those who may not know, the …

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The Little-Known Part of the Trade War That Has Cost Taxpayers 2.7x More than The Auto Bailout By D. R. Barton, Jr.

  Despite all the possible distractions from Hong Kong protests, votes impacting Brexit, and Aramco’s world-leading IPO, the mainstream business news is laser-focused on the trade dispute with China. President Trump’s fight with China’s President Xi Jinping continues to dominate headlines. Even the string of all-time market highs in recent two weeks had a tough time getting any press. The pundits quickly got back to talking about tariffs and trade negotiations, as if nothing else mattered. But there’s a directly related and very important story developing right under our noses, …

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Markets Keep Climbing the “Wall of Worry,” by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Going by the numbers, markets and the economy are doing great. The Dow, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 all broke several records last week. All three indices closed at all-time highs on Friday afternoon. But if you turn to the news, the picture looks much less rosy with no shortage of bad news for the US and the global economy. The big trade deal with China keeps getting postponed. Just last month, the Fed had to step into the overnight “repo” lending market as banks faced a liquidity crunch. …

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The Return of Volatility and Extreme Headline Risk, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

Earnings Are Down Again This Quarter — No Need for Short-Term Worry You wouldn’t know it from the stock market, but we’re actually in the middle of an “earnings recession.” It’s hard to tell this earnings season because the good news keeps piling up: The Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) went up 4% after it raised its profit forecast. JP Morgan & Chase Co. (JPM) hit an all-time high after it beat expectations. Netflix Inc. (NFLX) jumped 8% after its earnings and international efforts beat estimates. And Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) …

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Zero-Commission Brokerage Accounts: Are They Right for You?, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

When Robinhood launched its mobile app with zero-commission stock trading in December 2013, the demand was so high, there was a waiting list to join. Today, the company is practically a household name. Some other so-called “fintech” startups have joined them, chief among them SoFi, the student-loan refinancer out of San Francisco. But when it was just startups offering zero commission, it was easy to ignore. At first, these were small companies, without an established customer base, and with apps that appealed mostly to younger people. But last Tuesday, on …

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Avoid a Hard Landing In Your Portfolio During Brexit, by D.R. Barton, Jr.

For months, global markets have been preoccupied with the US-China trade war. Lately, protests and riots in Hong Kong (one of the world’s largest financial centers) have added even more uncertainty into the mix. Even as the residents of that city continue to rally against Chinese control, a third story may be just as important to your investments – a story, however, that has been underplayed by the mainstream financial news here in the US. This year, Halloween will be scary for a reason other than witches or goblins. October …

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Inverted Yield Curves and Recessions and Volatility — Oh My! by D.R. Barton, Jr.

Last week was rough for investors, to say the least: Yield-curve inversion 800-point drop in the Dow Trade war uncertainty Unrest in Hong Kong bringing down Asian markets Argentina’s stock market dropping 48% in a single day on fears of another debt default That’s enough to make anyone want to take a break. But the market doesn’t wait for anyone, and this week promises to be no less eventful, with tweets already flying from the White House and Fed Chair Jerome Powell speaking at the Fed’s own Jackson Hole Symposium …

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The Return of Volatility and Extreme Headline Risk, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

I’m doing my best to pretend I don’t have jet lag after returning from an amazing nine days in Scotland. To do that, I’ll keep today’s tip short and to the point. Markets are acting like a proverbial cat on a hot tin roof — With every new step, the markets are likely to slide to new short-term lows or take a temporary leap in the air. What was Wednesday morning’s hot mess? The central banks of India, New Zealand and Thailand all dropped interest rates further than expected. This …

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The Fed Narrative and “The Upside Down” Market, by D. R. Barton, Jr.

The Netflix show Stranger Things has been all the talk in the entertainment world. Despite Netflix’s stock drop after earnings last week, the show has been a cornerstone in content offering from the company and received a record 40.7 million unique user views in Season 3’s opening weekend over the Fourth of July holiday. The story features a group of middle schoolers/ high schoolers who in their own various ways, experience a parallel dimension called “The Upside Down.” The Upside Down world mirrors in many ways what happens in the …

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