D.R. Barton

About the Author: A passion for the systematic approach to the markets and lifelong love of teaching and learning have propelled D.R. Barton, Jr. to the top of the investment and trading arena. He is a regularly featured analyst on Fox Business Networks’ Varney & Co. TV show (catch him Tuesdays at 9:30 a.m. EST), on Bloomberg Radio Taking Stock and MarketWatch’s Money Life Show. He is also a regular guest analyst on CNBC World, CNBC’s Closing Bell, Fox Business Network’s Cavuto Coast to Coast and Making Money with Charles Payne and the China Global Television Network. His articles have appeared on SmartMoney.com, MarketWatch.com and Financial Advisor magazine. You may contact D.R. at “drbarton” at “vantharp.com.”

Stock Correlation is Jamming, Pounding Higher…Again By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

I’ve written about asset correlation multiple times in the past three years. And guess what. We need to chat about it again. This time we’re dropping back to just the correlation between stocks (spoiler alert for my next follow-up article: Correlations are high for lots of assets right now, including crypto). But for today, let’s just look at stocks. As you’re probably aware, one of the key thoughts that institutional money managers keep in the front of their minds is the diversity of a given portfolio. We could dig into …

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Double Bottom Déjà vu? Or…Just a Mirage? By, D.R. Barton, Jr.

Every single person who knows I am a market watcher has asked me the same question for the last two weeks. This past Monday (September 26th, 2022), I was asked at least three times as often. In fairness, the S&P 500 Index chart that many of them were looking at does beg this question. And on Monday, the market closed with the most crystal clear setup I’ve seen in a long time: Without any markup from me at all, this chart has the clearest: 1) Start of a Double Bottom setup and 2) …

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Markets Get Slammed: Some Things to Remember By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

The huge sell-off early on Tuesday, September 13, 2022, had both the perma-bulls and the end-of-the-world gang pushing their agendas hard and fast. In particular, I had just read a piece, late last week, from an investor and writer that I really like. But, it was pushing the bullish agenda, big-time. And to be honest, bad news sells. So touting yesterday’s market slam as the biggest down day since 2020 was easy headline fodder. Persistent inflation news sent the Nasdaq down by -5.2%, with the S&P off -4.3% and the …

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Find Your “One Thing” to Optimize Your Study Time By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

I remember the first time I sat down in one of the best private financial libraries that I know. So, so, many great books, both new and old, surrounded me. I felt truly inspired. The thoughts of so many people were there for the reading. The stronger feeling at the time, I must admit, was one of pure overwhelm. With all that knowledge, literally at my fingertips, I had no idea where to start… My good friend Christopher Castroviejo owns the books on the shelves. He himself is a walking …

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The Market at a VERY Interesting Juncture By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

Wednesday mornings are just about my favorite (well, for a weekday). That’s the time I usually prepare my notes to send to the production staff for my Thursday appearance on Varney & Co. Plus, I often use that same time in my thoughts for my contribution here at the Van Tharp Institute. It’s a full morning, but a time when I can really dig up something meaningful, useful, and actionable for hundreds of thousands of people. Plus, when I get to, I have a weekly Zoom call with an incredible …

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Sector Rotation, and What It’s Telling Us About Market Direction By, D.R. Barton, Jr.

For a couple of years before covid, my lovely and talented wife and I made an annual trek to Scotland. I wrote about it back then in this same space (in 2018 and 2019). Today I get to write about this favorite country of mine again. Since international travel is getting back to normal, we got to go back to Scotland six weeks ago. This time, we visited the Isle of Skye and St. Andrews. And with all that’s going on in the U.S. markets recently—a double-digit gain (16% in …

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The Line in the Sand (That’s Now a Long Way Away) By, D.R. Barton, Jr.

Well before the Covid pandemic, and even before there was much of a trade war between the U.S. and China, I wrote about the concept of drawing a “Line in the Sand” as it related to a simple moving average in the S&P 500 that just wouldn’t be broken for many years in a row. Today, I’d like to revisit this very interesting and useful idea from a couple of different perspectives: The Origin of drawing a line in the sand. Then, revisiting my example from the S&P 500, looking …

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Nostalgia and Inflation – Plus a Trade Gone Wrong and Trading Emotions By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

“Nostalgia isn’t what it used to be.” —Peter de Vries, American satirist Who doesn’t love sitting around with old friends, reminiscing about the good old days? Even the most jaded soul will have plenty of fond memories stored in the recesses of his or her mind. But inflation talk is ruling the markets right now. The one number kicked around more than any other yesterday was 9.1%. That was the inflation number here in the U.S. as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed up as higher than expected. Indeed, the …

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The “What is Forever Changing” and the “Stuff That Lasts” for Traders and Investors By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

My completely packed flight from Edinburgh, Scotland landed today (June 29th) just minutes after 12 Noon. We quickly drove the two hours home and I finished up this brief article just in time for the VTI newsletter team to add it to today’s publication! Here’s a quick summary of the market action and the state of the markets: The markets continue to swing wildly on almost any timeframe chart. That’s because uncertainty among market participants is as high as I’ve ever seen. That uncertainty comes from (choose as many options …

The “What is Forever Changing” and the “Stuff That Lasts” for Traders and Investors By, D. R. Barton, Jr. Read More »

Cause and Effect: Thinking Differently for Traders and Investors By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

When I was studying and training to get my degree in chemical engineering, the process of decision making was quite “yes or no”. Learn the rules of the physical world and then apply them. Learn how molecules combine and separate. Learn how mass and energy get transferred from place to place. Learn what is economical and what is not. And along the way, learn how to study hard and get a good passing grade—the higher the grade the better your job choices. However, once I was out of school and …

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