Cryptocurrency

June 16th Update on Cryptoassets, by Van K. Tharp, PhD

Market Summary Cryptoassets started the year with three flat months followed by a strong uptrend for the last three months. Most major cryptoassets are up over 100% since mid-December. The obvious bull trend since the first of the year is easy to see just looking at Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index chart below. Bloomberg’s tracks ten major cryptoassets in this index which started in May, 2018 at 1000. Thus, the index has been active for about a year and is now just under 50% of its starting level. The table below …

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Bitcoin — A Second Pop & What to Watch Next by D.R. Barton, Jr.

On October 19, 1781, British General Charles Cornwallis surrendered almost 8,000 soldiers, officers, and seamen to American and French commanders on the battlefield of Yorktown, Virginia. This effectively ended the American Revolutionary War. Such an event was nearly impossible for anyone to imagine in the previous years when the world’s greatest army of the day routinely routed the untrained and vastly outnumbered American militia. It would be nearly as impossible to ascribe the eventual American victory to any one factor. The major contributing factors included:     American resilience. General …

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Update on Cryptoassets: May 15, 2019 by Van K. Tharp, PhD

Update on Cryptoassets: May 15, 2019 by Van K. Tharp, PhD Market Summary Cryptoassets have had a flat three months followed by three months up with last month being a huge uptrend… Most of the major cryptoassets are up over 100% since mid-December. That’s easy to see just looking at a long-term chart of Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index. So, at this point I’d recommend to my Super Traders who are interested in cryptos to establish their core positions. For an idea of what “core positions” might mean see the second …

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Cryptoassets Update As of April 15th by Van K. Tharp, PhD

Market Summary Cryptoassets have had a flat three months followed by nearly two months up. Most of the major cryptoassets are up at least 50% from mid-December. That’s easy to see just looking at a long-term chart of Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index below. So, at this point I’d tell my Super Traders who are interested in cryptos to establish their core positions. For an idea of what “core positions” might mean, see the second article in Tharp’s Thoughts last month. That article is not a recommendation but rather a simple …

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The Pop in Cryptocurrencies — Why and What Next, by D.R. Barton

Yesterday, we had one of the first truly warm days in Delaware. Temperatures pushed toward 80 degrees F. I decided to go back to the serenity deck that we installed next to the stream that runs through our back yard. And when I got there, the sight of what was on the ground took my breath away. I saw a beautiful spring color palette that I can’t normally see through my backyard fence: The forest floor had become a sea of deep green foliage and bright yellow flowers. I had …

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Cryptoasset Strategy Research: Buy and Hold Select Cryptoassets from December 31, 2014 through March 15, 2019, by Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

Two months ago, I reviewed the disastrous performance of the top 100 cryptocurrencies from Dec 31, 2017 through December 31, 2018. Had you invested equally in each of the top 100 cryptos, you would have been down by about 85% one year later. No crypto coin price increased in our study of 2018. Last month I did a similar study for 2017, and showed that your $10,000 investment would have gone to $569,499.01. There were 12 coins that were up somewhere over 15,000% and one of them at nearly 50,000%. …

Cryptoasset Strategy Research: Buy and Hold Select Cryptoassets from December 31, 2014 through March 15, 2019, by Van K. Tharp, Ph.D. Read More »

March 15th Update on Cryptoassets, by Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

Cryptoassets have had a flat three months (nearly 100 days) compared with their normal behavior but that’s a good sign and most of the major cryptoassets are up at least 20% from mid-December. That’s easy to see just looking at a long term chart of Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index. So, at this point I’m recommending that my Super Traders who are interested in cryptos establish their core positions. For an idea of what “core positions” might mean see the second article below. Bloomberg’s Index tracks ten major cryptoassets and Bloomberg …

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Cryptoasset Update: What Happened to the Top 100 in Market Cap on Dec 31st 2016 During 2017 by Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

Cryptoasset Update: What Happened to the Top 100 in Market Cap on Dec 31st 2016 During 2017 by  Van K. Tharp, Ph.D. Last month I reviewed the disastrous performance of the top 100 cryptocurrencies from Dec 31, 2017 through December 31, 2018. Had you invested equally in each of the top 100 cryptos, you would have been down by about 85%. This month we’ll do a similar study for one of the best years ever – 2017. Generally, 2018 was a disaster for the crypto market. The market cap of the …

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February 15th Update on Cryptoassets by RJ Hixson

February 15th Update on Cryptoassets by RJ Hixson This month’s cryptoasset update will be abbreviated for two primary reasons: Van is travelling and we are in the middle of two back to back workshops in the office here. Market Summary Cryptoassets are clearly still in a bear market. That’s easy to see just looking at a long term chart of Bloomberg’s Galaxy Crypto Index – Bloomberg’s Index tracks ten major cryptoassets and Bloomberg started the index in May, 2018 at 1000 – at about the dotted vertical line on the …

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Cryptoasset Update: What Happened to the Top 100 in Market Cap on Dec 31st 2017 During 2018 by Van K. Tharp, Ph.D.

Generally, 2018 was a disaster for the crypto market. The market cap of the top 100 cryptos dropped from around $555 billion (still well under the market cap of AAPL stock) to about $124 billion – pretty much the value of a large cap stock. Knowing it was a disaster, I decided to look at what would have happened if someone had put $100 into each of the top 100 in market cap the end of 2017. Did anything go up in 2018? What was the likelihood of a top …

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