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Inflation Concerns What Are Traders and Investors to Do? By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

June 10, 2021 / 3 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

A month ago, I wrote about inflation concerns that had pushed the markets down to key support levels in an article entitled “Is Inflation Transitory and Can the S&P 500 Hold the Line?” Here is the original “hold the line” chart: And now we have the answer to that question: The line held, coinciding directly with the reduction in inflation fears. Today I’m going to run you through a “chart-heavy” look at some inflationary forces and make the case that market participants are betting, for the near to intermediate-term, that …

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When Life Gives You Lemons…Teach Others By, Ken Long

June 10, 2021 / 4 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

When life gives you lemons, figure out how to make lemonade, then use Scale, Leverage, and Momentum to Innovate. Next, make an Artifact to lock in Innovation-That-Lasts, then Lather-Rinse-Repeat with Continuous Improvement. Finally, Teach Others in order to Learn More. COVID forced us to adapt the way we teach our Tortoise trading techniques. From long-term core investing, to intermediate-term swing trading to short-term day trading, and the hybrid trading approach which integrates them all in a master trading strategy. An “instructional coaching” approach when teaching our Tortoise style of trading …

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May 2021 System Quality Number® Report The SQN® Report By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

June 3, 2021 / 6 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

There are numerous ETFs that track everything from countries, commodities, currencies, and stock market indices to individual market sectors. ETFs provide a wonderfully easy way to discover what’s happening in the world markets. I apply an index-based version of my System Quality Number® (SQN®) score to measure the relative performance of numerous markets in a world model. The Market SQN score uses the daily percent change for input over a 100-day period. Typically, a Market SQN score over 1.47 is strongly bullish, and a score below -0.7 is very weak. …

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May 2021 Market Update Bull Normal Market Type By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

June 3, 2021 / 10 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

I always say that people do not trade the markets; they trade their beliefs about the markets. In that same way, I’d like to point out that these updates reflect my beliefs. I find the market update information useful for my trading, so I do the work each month and am happy to share that information with my readers. However, if your beliefs are not similar to mine, then this information may not be useful to you. Thus, if you are inclined to go through some sort of intellectual exercise …

May 2021 Market Update Bull Normal Market Type By, Van K. Tharp, PhD Read More »

Letting Big Money Show You the Way to Big Profits By, Chuck Whitman

June 3, 2021 / 9 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

Last fall, Van and I held a workshop called, “How Big Money Trades.” The purpose of this workshop was to teach students how the market works and who are the participants. By understanding the participants and their objectives, we can use their behavior to find strong edges in the market that we can exploit in our trading. When is a trend a REAL trend? A REAL trend lasts several months, and prices rise by 50-200% or more. In “How Big Money Trades,” we talked about the role of the Commercial. …

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Special Update on Cryptoassets as of May 26, 2021 By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

June 3, 2021 / 7 minutes of reading / Leave a Comment

“I’d rather own Bitcoin than Bonds.” Dalio, Ray. Ray Dalio: ‘I Have Some Bitcoin’. “CoinDesk Forum.” 24 May 2021. I’m doing a special update on cryptos because of the recent crash. My belief says we just had a mini-bear market within a major bull market and there is still great opportunity ahead in this market. Market Summary First, our Super Trader system stopped out of BTC on May 15th at $46,877.18 when it closed below our exit price of $49,090. I was a little stunned by that as I thought …

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Commercials Recap By, Chuck Whitman

May 27, 2021 / 1 minute of reading / Leave a Comment
  For a quick recap on Commercials, review the summary points below:     Every successful product exists because it has a legitimate business purpose for the commercial firms that utilize it. Without the commercial firm’s willingness to use the product, it will fail. Commercials are the primary influence in any market that we trade. Commercials are the participant for whom the market primarily exists. Each market usually has a commercial user who is a natural long and a commercial user who is a natural short. The easy way to …

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(VIDEO) BTC vs. Altcoins: A Divergence From May 17, 2021 By, Gabriel Grammatidis

May 20, 2021 / 1 minute of reading / Leave a Comment
We see some very interesting market dynamics with the recent sell-off in BTC price. For the first time in a long time, we see a divergence of BTC vs the Altcoins: While BTC has gone sideways for a good number of weeks now and just broke lower, many Altcoins have increased in price a lot and only show now a healthy pullback. BTC determines the overall Crypto market type and everything depends now if BTC can regain ground (Rebreak of resistance), or if it needs to pull back even deeper. …

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Update on Cryptoassets As of May 15, 2021 By, Van K. Tharp PhD

May 20, 2021 / 1 minute of reading / Leave a Comment
PLEASE NOTE: This update was written over the weekend on May 15th and 16th. Since then, cryptos went through a blood bath Tuesday night. Our models use closing price data so I did not re-run the numbers because the spreadsheets would not be able to reflect the big drop until tonight’s close. While I don’t have closing data for today yet, it’s obviously going to be pretty bad for cryptos. Market Summary BTC hit a new all-time high of $64,863.10 on March 13 but it has been going down since …

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Is Inflation Transitory and Can the S&P 500 Hold the Line? By, D. R. Barton, Jr.

May 13, 2021 / 1 minute of reading / 2 Comments
Many folks in the U.S. are returning to summer travel schedules. And like so, so many other things – the cost of travel has skyrocketed. In late May of 2019 (before COVID), my wife and I spent a week on the Gulf Coast of Florida for a little R&R. We rented a car at the Tampa airport, for a week, at a total cost of $150.82 (no additional insurances purchased). Earlier this week, I made the exact same reservation. I rented the same car class, at the same airport, on …

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