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January 2021 Market Update Bull Normal Market Type By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

  I always say that people do not trade the markets; they trade their beliefs about the markets. In that same way, I’d like to point out that these updates reflect my beliefs. I find the market update information useful for my trading, so I do the work each month and am happy to share that information with my readers. However, if your beliefs are not similar to mine, then this information may not be useful to you. Thus, if you are inclined to go through some sort of intellectual […]

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Update on Cryptoassets as of January 15, 2021 by, Van K. Tharp, PhD

  Market Summary Last month the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index was at 962.55, following a low of 217.82 in early March. BTC had made a new high at $23,899. Today, the index was at 1,414.37 while BTC has gone as high as $41,420. That’s a huge gain for one month. The BTC halving took place on Monday, May 11, around 4 PM EST. That means that the BTC miners as a whole now produce 6.25 BTC every ten minutes, down from 12.50 BTC prior to the halving. It used to

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January’s “First Five Days” Indicator – It’s Not Useful Unless… by, D. R. Barton, Jr.

  Tell me not, in mournful numbers, Life is but an empty dream! For the soul is dead that slumbers, and things are not what they seem. Life is real! Life is earnest! And the grave is not its goal; Dust thou art; to dust returnest, Was not spoken of the soul. —A Psalm of Life by Henry Wadsworth Longfellow (emphasis added) Many market watchers and analysts are again looking at the well-known “First Five Days” indicator which was popularized by Yale Hirsch’s Stock Trader’s Almanac. (For the record, I

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December 2020 System Quality Number® Report The SQN® Report by, Van K. Tharp

  There are numerous ETFs that track everything from countries, commodities, currencies, and stock market indices to individual market sectors. ETFs provide a wonderfully easy way to discover what is happening in the world markets. I apply a version of my System Quality Number® (SQN®) score to measure the relative performance of numerous markets in a world model.   The Market SQN score uses the daily percent change for input over a 100-day period. Typically, a Market SQN score over 1.47 is strongly bullish, and a score below -0.7 is

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December 2020 Market Update Bull Quiet Market Type By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

  I always say that people do not trade the markets; they trade their beliefs about the markets. In that same way, I’d like to point out that these updates reflect my beliefs. I find the market update information useful for my trading, so I do the work each month and am happy to share that information with my readers. However, if your beliefs are not similar to mine, then this information may not be useful to you. Thus, if you are inclined to go through some sort of intellectual

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2020: Record Money Raised for IPOs… Does 2021 See More of the Same? by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

  We’ll remember 2020 for a lot of things. It was the first year that my nuclear family didn’t get to travel to see my dad for Christmas. Instead, I did a 1,500+ mile double round-trip so I could bring him to see the grandkids. Despite us having a masked and socially distanced visit, all keeping an 8-foot distance from our patriarch, it did body, soul, and spirit a world of good. We can remember a year with the fastest 30% drop in the history of U.S. markets followed by

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Update on Cryptoassets as of December 20, 2020 By, Van K. Tharp, PhD

Note: This month’s update is coming out a little later than other months because we wanted to add more coins to follow. We are now following 241 coins vs. only 115 last month. These include most of the top 200 cryptoassets in terms of market cap but there are still some for which we cannot get data.   Market Summary Last month the Bloomberg Galaxy Crypto Index was at 659.58, following a low of 217.82 in early March. As of December 20th, it’s at 962.55, while BTC is close to

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Is Bitcoin Too Expensive? by, D.R. Barton, Jr.

Last week, Bitcoin eclipsed its all-time high price briefly and was up 177% for the year. The previous record high price was from back in December 2017 during the height of the first Bitcoin rally – and just before the huge crash in 2018. Unlike 2017’s peak, however, I don’t see a high probability of Bitcoin crashing from its current height. In fact, there are multiple fundamental and technical reasons why Bitcoin is going to keep powering higher and why there is still an opportunity to profit at these lofty

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Stock Markets About to Go “Vertical” Plus a Cryptocurrency Update (VIDEO) by, Gabriel Grammatidis

  I) US Stock Market: US Equities About to Go “Vertical.” A vertical market ideally develops out of a well-established strong & smooth that starts a final exhaustion trend move. This leads prices to go “vertical” within a short period of time. Gabriel has a strong sense that this is occurring right now, based on a Futures price pattern. As explained in the video, the trigger is a subtle, but powerful visual price pattern (S2 Turtle) that developed on the Daily chart. This has the potential to kick-start the very

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November 2020 System Quality Number® Report The SQN® Report by, Van K. Tharp

  If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. There are numerous ETFs that track everything from countries, commodities, currencies and stock market indices to individual market sectors. ETFs provide a wonderfully easy way to discover what’s happening in the world markets. I apply a version of my System Quality Number® (SQN®) score to measure the relative performance of numerous markets in a world model. The Market SQN score uses the daily percent change for input over a 100-day period. Typically, a Market SQN

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